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Red21
417614.0
62019.7
178611.7
Blue54
584620.4
356616.3
416912.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343801020305060702154

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4176
#30
14.01.2
13.111.9
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End2.8
blue by 6.4
20.42.0
13.015.0
Auto5.7
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Second
1786
#27
11.71.2
7.56.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End1.3
blue by 4.6
3566
#11
16.31.2
11.212.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End3.3
Third
6201
#37
9.71.2
11.210.0
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End2.7
blue by 2.3
4169
#15
12.12.0
12.014.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed