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Red50
12119.5
20799.8
417614.0
Blue72
7828.1
115328.7
8826.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41682060801005072

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
#22
19.51.3
16.017.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.5
End2.4
blue by 9.2
28.70.7
17.818.5
Auto4.9
Teleop16.7
End7.1
Second
4176
#30
14.01.3
11.512.8
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End2.8
blue by 14.1
78
#1
28.10.8
23.624.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End8.7
Third
2079
#35
9.81.3
11.012.3
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End1.9
blue by 16.9
88
#6
26.80.5
23.123.6
Auto5.1
Teleop19.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed68%HAB Docking oddsEarned