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Red51
12517.3
500015.2
356616.3
Blue45
584620.4
511213.6
9713.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464835405055605145

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#12
17.30.7
17.818.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End3.4
blue by 3.1
20.40.0
18.318.3
Auto5.7
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Second
3566
#11
16.30.5
14.915.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End3.3
red by 2.6
5112
#28
13.60.0
12.212.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Third
5000
#20
15.20.7
11.412.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End2.8
red by 1.6
97
#26
13.60.0
14.614.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed