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Red34
17320.7
62019.7
415110.6
Blue36
196513.6
676315.8
110015.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434435404550553436

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#13
20.70.7
17.616.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.8
End2.8
red by 4.9
6763
#25
15.80.6
17.817.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Second
4151
#14
10.60.7
13.713.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End0.4
blue by 4.7
1100
#19
15.30.6
13.713.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Third
6201
#37
9.70.7
9.28.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End2.7
blue by 3.8
1965
#18
13.60.6
10.09.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed