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Red45
542211.4
252317.5
320516.5
Blue48
40488.2
17215.6
622413.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3738203050604548

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2523
#17
17.51.1
9.810.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End3.1
red by 1.9
172
#10
15.60.4
9.79.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End5.0
Second
3205
#36
16.51.1
15.416.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End2.6
red by 3.4
6224
#24
13.10.4
13.913.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Third
5422
#38
11.41.1
9.810.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End3.4
red by 3.2
4048
#34
8.20.4
12.712.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed