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Red52
581315.3
7828.1
673113.6
Blue35
63019.3
584620.4
622413.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4945102030406070805235

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#1
28.10.5
24.725.3
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End8.7
red by 7.7
20.40.8
18.517.7
Auto5.7
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Second
5813
#21
15.30.5
10.310.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End4.0
red by 2.1
6224
#24
13.10.8
13.913.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Third
6731
#33
13.60.5
12.112.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.8
red by 4.3
6301
#31
9.30.8
10.19.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed