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Red35
416912.1
115328.7
40488.2
Blue46
9713.6
500015.2
323620.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444625303540505560653546

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.5
19.719.2
Auto4.9
Teleop16.7
End7.1
red by 7.9
20.70.0
21.821.8
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
4169
#15
12.10.7
11.710.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End2.6
blue by 3.1
5000
#20
15.20.0
10.110.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Third
4048
#34
8.20.7
10.39.6
Auto2.1
Teleop4.1
End2.0
blue by 5.4
97
#26
13.60.0
11.311.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed