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Red48
8826.8
196513.6
2467.2
Blue73
2318.2
323620.7
12517.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4559203040507080904873

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#6
26.80.4
24.424.8
Auto5.1
Teleop19.3
End2.4
red by 6.0
20.70.5
21.121.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
1965
#18
13.60.5
12.412.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 4.7
23
#16
18.20.6
16.717.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.6
End1.8
Third
246
#23
7.20.4
5.66.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 10.1
125
#12
17.30.6
18.519.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed