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Red43
500015.2
40488.2
581315.3
Blue56
7828.1
417614.0
415110.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3552102030406070804356

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#21
15.30.8
12.112.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End4.0
blue by 12.8
78
#1
28.10.3
25.425.8
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End8.7
Second
5000
#20
15.21.0
12.113.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End2.8
red by 1.2
4176
#30
14.00.3
11.011.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Third
4048
#34
8.21.0
8.99.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.1
End2.0
blue by 2.4
4151
#14
10.60.3
13.213.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed50%HAB Docking oddsEarned