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Red27
63019.3
673113.6
9713.6
Blue54
178611.7
252317.5
356616.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4040303545502754

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97
#26
13.60.9
14.613.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 3.9
2523
#17
17.51.4
13.615.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End3.1
Second
6731
#33
13.60.9
14.413.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.8
blue by 2.7
3566
#11
16.31.1
15.516.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End3.3
Third
6301
#31
9.30.9
8.47.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.0
End2.4
blue by 2.4
1786
#27
11.71.4
8.810.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed