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Red40
12517.3
6920.7
633311.9
Blue42
320516.5
416912.1
511213.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5442102030506070804042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
#4
20.70.9
20.819.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End8.1
red by 4.1
3205
#36
16.50.0
16.216.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Second
125
#12
17.30.9
17.316.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End3.4
red by 3.6
5112
#28
13.60.0
12.912.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Third
6333
#29
11.90.9
13.112.2
Auto2.4
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 0.2
4169
#15
12.10.0
10.310.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed