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Red75
417614.0
584620.4
115328.7
Blue48
673113.6
65299.9
216827.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585501001507548

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.71.4
23.825.2
Auto4.9
Teleop16.7
End7.1
red by 1.0
27.60.3
28.528.2
Auto4.8
Teleop17.6
End5.2
Second
20.41.7
18.920.6
Auto5.7
Teleop11.4
End3.4
red by 6.8
6731
#33
13.60.3
13.413.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Third
4176
#30
14.01.7
11.913.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End2.8
red by 4.1
6529
#32
9.90.3
9.79.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned52%HAB Docking oddsMissed