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Red58
287722.1
62019.7
5819.8
Blue63
17320.7
500015.2
178611.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494502060801001205863

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.9
20.621.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End3.7
red by 1.4
173
#13
20.71.4
19.020.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.8
End2.8
Second
58
#7
19.80.8
17.718.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End8.6
red by 4.5
5000
#20
15.21.4
13.414.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Third
6201
#37
9.70.9
8.08.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End2.7
blue by 1.9
1786
#27
11.71.3
10.411.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed