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Red45
9713.6
622413.1
320516.5
Blue50
633311.9
584620.4
323620.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455710203040506070804550

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3205
#36
16.50.2
16.216.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End2.6
blue by 4.2
20.70.2
20.820.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
97
#26
13.60.2
13.413.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 6.8
20.40.3
20.620.3
Auto5.7
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Third
6224
#24
13.10.2
12.913.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End1.7
red by 1.2
6333
#29
11.90.3
12.211.9
Auto2.4
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed