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Red42
362311.6
173518.7
226216.7
Blue69
12527.5
178617.5
320518.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38542030506070804269

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.4
13.313.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.8
blue by 8.8
125
#2
27.51.2
23.224.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End6.6
Second
2262
#21
16.70.5
11.612.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End6.2
blue by 1.7
3205
#26
18.41.2
16.517.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Third
3623
#39
11.60.4
10.811.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 5.9
1786
#31
17.51.2
11.712.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsEarned