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Red57
17223.1
110023.2
549115.1
Blue58
19023.7
207912.0
542210.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4644354050555758

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.5
20.621.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End8.7
blue by 0.4
190
#5
23.70.9
20.621.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End8.4
Second
172
#4
23.10.5
15.616.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.2
End8.4
red by 11.2
2079
#30
12.00.9
9.810.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End2.8
Third
5491
#18
15.10.5
7.07.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End2.3
red by 4.3
5422
#27
10.90.9
11.412.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned59%HAB Docking oddsEarned