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Red47
15718.5
196512.0
662014.9
Blue66
27859.2
7832.5
498718.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4259020801004766

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#13
18.50.5
14.214.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End7.7
blue by 14.0
78
#1
32.50.5
29.329.7
Auto3.5
Teleop20.3
End8.8
Second
6620
#28
14.90.5
12.212.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End3.5
blue by 3.2
4987
#16
18.10.5
14.715.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
1965
#34
12.00.5
13.614.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End2.6
red by 2.8
2785
#37
9.20.8
11.812.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsEarned79%HAB Docking oddsEarned