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Red50
5823.2
9522.8
13815.4
Blue37
173518.7
27137.7
542210.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6140102030507080905037

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#6
23.20.5
21.621.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End7.8
red by 4.5
18.70.1
15.015.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.8
Second
95
#8
22.80.5
23.122.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End3.0
red by 11.9
5422
#27
10.90.1
13.313.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End2.2
Third
138
#14
15.40.5
12.912.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End4.4
red by 7.7
2713
#36
7.70.1
9.49.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed