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Red33
726613.4
178617.5
673110.2
Blue85
12527.5
549115.1
632816.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42552060803385

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1786
#31
17.50.5
13.112.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.3
blue by 10.0
125
#2
27.52.0
25.527.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End6.6
Second
7266
#32
13.40.5
12.612.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End4.2
blue by 2.9
6328
#24
16.32.0
18.019.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End2.8
Third
6731
#38
10.20.5
14.113.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End2.2
blue by 4.9
5491
#18
15.12.0
8.610.6
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed46%HAB Docking oddsEarned