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Red50
15516.4
207912.0
9522.8
Blue68
632816.3
498718.1
15718.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5756203040507080905068

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#8
22.80.3
23.323.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End3.0
red by 4.3
157
#13
18.50.8
16.116.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End7.7
Second
155
#25DQ
16.40.3
17.817.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
blue by 1.7
4987
#16
18.10.8
16.917.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
2079
#30
12.00.3
13.313.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End2.8
blue by 4.4
6328
#24
16.30.8
19.920.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsEarned