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Red45
743821.9
27137.7
320518.4
Blue50
178617.5
549115.1
6123.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5346102030406070804550

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7438
#22
21.91.0
20.719.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End5.4
blue by 1.2
61
#12
23.10.4
19.720.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End7.9
Second
3205
#26
18.41.0
19.318.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.2
End4.1
red by 0.9
1786
#31
17.50.4
13.013.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.3
Third
2713
#36
7.71.0
10.19.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 7.5
5491
#18
15.10.4
11.111.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsEarned