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Red58
332311.5
178617.5
226216.7
Blue63
662014.9
9522.8
12527.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39702060801005863

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1786
#31
17.51.4
13.414.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.3
blue by 10.0
125
#2
27.50.4
28.928.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End6.6
Second
2262
#21
16.71.4
12.013.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End6.2
blue by 6.1
95
#8
22.80.4
23.022.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End3.0
Third
3323
#35
11.51.4
11.813.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End0.8
blue by 3.4
6620
#28
14.90.4
14.714.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed49%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed62%HAB Docking oddsMissed