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Red56
542210.9
581319.9
287725.1
Blue60
226216.7
404818.7
549115.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6045203040507080905660

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#17
25.10.1
25.425.3
Auto3.7
Teleop18.0
End3.4
red by 6.4
4048
#10
18.71.2
16.117.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End6.7
Second
5813
#23
19.90.1
19.119.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End2.7
red by 3.3
2262
#21
16.71.2
13.814.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End6.2
Third
5422
#27
10.90.1
12.412.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End2.2
blue by 4.3
5491
#18
15.11.2
12.814.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed54%HAB Docking oddsEarned