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Red75
545916.0
17223.1
7832.5
Blue55
8827.0
632816.3
320518.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7169506080907555

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#1
32.50.5
32.232.7
Auto3.5
Teleop20.3
End8.8
red by 5.5
88
#11
27.00.7
27.326.6
Auto5.0
Teleop17.3
End4.7
Second
172
#4
23.10.5
21.121.6
Auto3.5
Teleop11.2
End8.4
red by 4.8
3205
#26
18.40.7
18.517.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Third
5459
#29
16.00.5
14.114.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End2.4
blue by 0.4
6328
#24
16.30.7
20.019.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsEarned