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Red38
15718.5
226216.7
13815.4
Blue46
662014.9
549115.1
128913.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423110205060703846

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#13
18.50.1
14.714.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End7.7
red by 3.4
5491
#18
15.11.1
7.58.6
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Second
2262
#21
16.70.1
12.111.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End6.2
red by 1.8
6620
#28
14.91.1
12.713.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Third
138
#14
15.40.1
13.012.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End4.4
red by 2.4
1289
#19
13.01.1
9.610.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed