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Red46
287613.2
490918.0
490619.8
Blue57
615316.5
264820.7
616124.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40440102030506070804657

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.9
13.614.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End4.4
blue by 4.2
24.01.7
12.714.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End6.3
Second
4909
#13
18.00.9
13.013.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End4.8
blue by 2.7
20.71.7
15.417.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
Third
2876
#25
13.20.9
11.112.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End3.6
blue by 3.3
6153
#17
16.51.6
13.114.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed