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Red30
555614.0
102711.7
575211.3
Blue31
782213.8
128910.0
17577.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364010203050603031

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5556
#32
14.01.2
12.010.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End2.5
red by 0.2
7822
#22
13.80.7
12.311.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End2.8
Second
1027
#31
11.71.2
8.67.5
Auto1.9
Teleop6.9
End2.8
red by 1.6
1289
#33
10.00.7
12.011.2
Auto2.6
Teleop5.7
End1.8
Third
5752
#18
11.31.2
13.812.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End2.4
red by 4.2
1757
#35
7.10.7
13.412.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed