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Red56
2319.5
395820.6
573513.2
Blue32
24237.3
52659.4
416915.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48361020304060705632

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3958
#10
20.60.7
18.419.1
Auto2.8
Teleop15.3
End2.4
red by 4.8
4169
#23
15.80.2
11.711.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End3.9
Second
23
#24
19.50.7
18.819.5
Auto3.6
Teleop14.0
End1.9
red by 10.1
5265
#37
9.40.2
10.09.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Third
5735
#30
13.21.2
8.49.6
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End3.8
red by 5.9
2423
#29
7.30.3
12.712.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed