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Red49
431120.7
23819.1
393015.4
Blue51
490918.0
264820.7
2319.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47602030407080904951

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4311
#11
20.70.5
15.515.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End5.4
Level
20.70.6
19.218.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
Second
238
#16
19.10.4
17.117.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End3.3
blue by 0.4
23
#24
19.50.4
20.520.1
Auto3.6
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Third
3930
#36
15.40.4
12.312.7
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End2.4
blue by 2.7
4909
#13
18.00.6
16.716.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed