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Red38
107313.7
615316.5
128910.0
Blue42
395820.6
545915.2
208414.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424720305060703842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6153
#17
16.50.1
17.817.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.4
End2.4
blue by 4.1
3958
#10
20.60.1
19.319.2
Auto2.8
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Second
1073
#14
13.70.1
14.514.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End4.2
blue by 1.5
5459
#26
15.20.2
13.713.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End3.1
Third
1289
#33
10.00.2
7.27.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.7
End1.8
blue by 4.3
2084
#21
14.30.1
11.110.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed