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Red49
490918.0
743820.0
128910.0
Blue52
395820.6
50112.8
226211.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444220305060704952

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.7
18.519.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End6.1
blue by 0.6
3958
#10
20.60.8
19.220.0
Auto2.8
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Second
4909
#13
18.00.7
16.016.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End4.8
red by 5.2
501
#19
12.80.8
9.210.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Third
1289
#33
10.00.7
7.17.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.7
End1.8
blue by 1.5
2262
#20
11.61.2
11.612.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed