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Red26
107313.7
17617.9
782213.8
Blue40
52659.4
287613.2
9524.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39491020306070802640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7822
#22
13.81.0
13.012.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End2.8
blue by 10.4
95
#7
24.20.5
22.922.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End3.1
Second
1073
#14
13.70.8
14.413.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End4.2
red by 0.5
2876
#25
13.20.6
14.413.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End3.6
Third
1761
#38
7.91.0
9.68.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End3.3
blue by 1.5
5265
#37
9.40.5
9.59.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed