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Red68
490619.8
208414.3
147422.0
Blue58
102711.7
393015.4
416915.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50361020304060706858

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.02.0
19.421.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End7.2
red by 6.2
4169
#23
15.81.6
12.614.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End3.9
Second
19.81.9
16.818.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End4.4
red by 4.5
3930
#36
15.42.2
12.714.8
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Third
2084
#21
14.31.4
10.912.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.8
red by 2.7
1027
#31
11.72.5
8.410.9
Auto1.9
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned7%HAB Docking oddsMissed