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Red26
17577.1
393015.4
107313.7
Blue42
615316.5
24237.3
50112.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393501020305060702642

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3930
#36
15.41.2
13.312.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End2.4
blue by 1.1
6153
#17
16.50.0
12.612.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.4
End2.4
Second
1073
#14
13.71.2
10.29.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End4.2
red by 0.9
501
#19
12.80.0
8.48.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Third
1757
#35
7.11.2
13.512.2
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End2.6
blue by 0.2
2423
#29
7.30.0
12.212.1
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed