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Red52
147422.0
27136.9
431120.7
Blue48
743820.0
779515.5
52659.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363102060805248

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.01.9
12.214.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End7.2
red by 2.0
20.09.4
21.512.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End6.1
Second
4311
#11
20.71.9
12.013.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End5.4
red by 5.2
7795
#12
15.52.1
9.912.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Third
2713
#34
6.91.9
10.312.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End0.9
blue by 2.4
5265
#37
9.41.2
9.310.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed