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Red39
36349.5
769415.9
107123.8
Blue68
355518.2
346419.9
102715.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414520305060703968

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.0
19.219.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End4.0
red by 3.9
3464
#13
19.91.3
17.518.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End6.2
Second
7694
#15
15.90.0
10.710.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End5.2
blue by 2.3
3555
#11
18.22.2
12.815.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End6.5
Third
3634
#29DQ
9.50.0
8.88.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End2.1
blue by 5.6
1027
#20
15.01.5
11.913.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsEarned