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Red82
22824.8
17824.5
206419.7
Blue40
712719.0
15514.0
19529.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5556404550606570758240

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#5
24.80.7
19.220.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
blue by 4.8
195
#3
29.60.9
26.625.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.6
End5.6
Second
178
#4
24.50.7
17.618.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End9.1
red by 5.5
7127
#22
19.01.4
14.412.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End5.8
Third
2064
#17
19.70.7
15.516.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End5.0
red by 5.7
155
#30
14.01.4
12.010.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsMissed