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Red31
78798.8
68616.9
623920.2
Blue53
172724.6
424219.8
583012.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525802040801001201403153

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6239
#13
20.21.2
20.018.8
Auto5.7
Teleop11.9
End2.6
blue by 4.4
24.60.1
24.124.0
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End4.2
Second
686
#9
16.91.2
19.017.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End5.9
blue by 2.9
19.80.1
19.118.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End4.0
Third
7879
#30
8.81.2
10.49.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.2
End2.3
blue by 3.9
5830
#12
12.70.1
11.711.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed