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Red41
219918.8
171916.9
405014.7
Blue36
365010.8
463818.0
44645.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5641020801004136

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#21
18.80.8
21.120.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End5.8
red by 0.8
4638
#19
18.00.8
19.418.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End3.5
Second
1719
#11
16.90.8
17.716.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End7.1
red by 6.1
3650
#22
10.80.8
11.510.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Third
14.70.8
14.513.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.2
red by 9.3
4464
#18
5.40.8
7.86.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed