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Red85
424219.8
61424.3
22531.0
Blue83
777019.6
172724.6
253425.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78722040601001208583

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
31.00.6
30.831.3
Auto5.3
Teleop18.8
End6.8
red by 5.4
25.61.0
25.426.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End6.9
Second
614
#6
24.30.6
24.024.5
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End5.4
blue by 0.3
24.61.0
24.025.0
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End4.2
Third
19.80.6
18.919.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End4.0
red by 0.2
7770
#15
19.61.0
18.519.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned54%HAB Docking oddsEarned