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Red29
379323.4
253712.9
291410.8
Blue31
19158.7
623914.1
291217.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43380102030506070802931

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.3
18.417.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End7.2
red by 6.0
2912
#12
17.40.5
13.513.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.0
Second
2537
#36
12.91.3
12.010.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
blue by 1.2
6239
#10
14.10.5
13.613.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.9
End4.1
Third
2914
#22
10.81.3
10.18.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End2.1
red by 2.1
1915
#21
8.70.5
8.78.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed