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Red42
111114.5
44918.6
511512.5
Blue17
68939.2
58418.4
77145.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392210305060704217

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#13
18.60.1
13.012.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End3.6
red by 9.5
6893
#15
9.20.5
6.76.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End2.6
Second
1111
#18
14.50.1
12.111.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.8
End3.5
red by 6.1
5841
#31
8.40.5
8.88.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End2.1
Third
5115
#27
12.50.1
12.112.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.4
red by 7.0
7714
#34
5.50.5
5.75.2
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed