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Red61
379323.4
112315.5
49495.8
Blue40
558720.7
58418.4
511512.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3839253035455055606140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.7
17.118.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End7.2
red by 2.6
20.70.3
16.716.3
Auto5.4
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Second
15.51.0
12.713.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End8.1
red by 2.9
5115
#27
12.50.3
12.011.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Third
4949
#29
5.81.7
5.87.5
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End1.3
blue by 2.6
5841
#31
8.40.3
8.48.0
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed