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Red38
445617.4
623914.1
365010.2
Blue59
68616.9
172723.1
68939.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334010203050603859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.40.4
13.313.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End6.3
blue by 5.6
23.11.6
18.520.1
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End5.3
Second
6239
#10
14.10.4
13.113.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.9
End4.1
blue by 2.8
686
#7
16.91.6
13.515.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End4.2
Third
3650
#28
10.20.4
4.75.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
red by 1.0
6893
#15
9.21.6
6.27.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsEarned