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Red40
583013.6
291217.4
253712.9
Blue26
511512.5
29006.8
62137.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4025010203050604026

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2912
#12
17.40.2
13.413.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.0
red by 4.9
5115
#27
12.50.3
11.711.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Second
5830
#23
13.60.2
13.313.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End5.3
red by 6.6
6213
#32
7.00.3
4.85.1
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Third
2537
#36
12.90.2
11.411.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
red by 6.2
2900
#16
6.80.3
6.97.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed