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Red74
68939.2
188524.3
445617.4
Blue43
482114.5
365010.2
447221.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43400102030506070807443

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.32.5
19.622.1
Auto3.8
Teleop17.0
End3.5
red by 3.1
4472
#14
21.10.6
15.816.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End3.2
Second
17.42.4
13.716.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End6.3
red by 2.9
14.50.6
16.517.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End2.9
Third
6893
#15
9.22.4
7.910.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End2.6
blue by 1.0
3650
#28
10.20.6
5.15.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed