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Red39
188524.3
63268.9
623914.1
Blue52
583013.6
451414.0
777017.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43442030405060703952

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.2
20.420.2
Auto3.8
Teleop17.0
End3.5
red by 7.0
7770
#11
17.20.6
16.717.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End3.3
Second
6239
#10
14.10.2
13.213.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.9
End4.1
red by 0.1
14.00.6
12.012.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Third
6326
#35
8.90.2
7.67.4
Auto1.7
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 4.7
5830
#23
13.60.7
13.414.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed