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Red29
19158.7
44648.2
68616.9
Blue45
291217.4
77145.5
594512.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352901020405060702945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#7
16.90.3
16.416.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End4.2
blue by 0.5
2912
#12
17.41.4
14.215.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.0
Second
1915
#21
8.70.3
8.88.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.3
End2.6
blue by 3.4
5945
#25
12.01.4
10.211.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End3.0
Third
4464
#19
8.20.3
7.97.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End1.1
red by 2.6
7714
#34
5.51.5
3.55.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed5%HAB Docking oddsMissed