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Red54
44918.6
777017.2
68939.2
Blue45
284916.4
253712.9
594512.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433802060805445

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#13
18.60.3
15.515.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End3.6
red by 2.2
2849
#17
16.40.5
13.413.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Second
7770
#11
17.20.3
16.817.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End3.3
red by 4.3
2537
#36
12.90.5
10.811.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Third
6893
#15
9.20.3
8.89.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End2.6
blue by 2.9
5945
#25
12.00.5
11.612.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed