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Red38
511512.5
365010.2
291410.8
Blue64
29006.8
379323.4
188524.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3650102030406070803864

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#27
12.50.1
12.412.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 11.7
24.31.4
20.121.5
Auto3.8
Teleop17.0
End3.5
Second
2914
#22
10.80.1
10.911.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End2.1
blue by 12.6
23.41.2
21.823.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End7.2
Third
3650
#28
10.20.1
10.310.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
red by 3.4
2900
#16
6.81.2
5.36.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed58%HAB Docking oddsEarned